In the October 14th edition of The New
York Times, I found an article in the wedding section with some interesting
demographic data about staying married. Recently, the Census Bureau released
its 2011 American Community survey, showing New Jersey ranking last among the
states for its percentage of residents age 18 and older who are divorced.
A different study by Philip Cohen, a professor of sociology at the University
of Maryland looked at the states with the lowest of divorces the previous
year compared with their populations, finding these states to be Delaware, Massachusetts,
New Jersey, New York, and North Dakota. All of these states had rates of
divorce about 6-7% per 1,000 people, compared to 31 states that have above a
10% rate.
The Director of the National Center for Family and Marriage Research at
Bowling Green State University in Ohio, Susan Brown, suggests that the data
about less divorce in New Jersey has a lot to do with the demographic
trends for first marriage there. Long-term marriages are more likely when
couples marry later, have a higher level of education, and are more financially
stable. In New Jersey, it seems that more people are delaying marriage until
they are more ready for it and have fewer risk factors for divorce.
According to American Community’s 2011 survey, 23% of Americans married that
year were between 18 and 24 years old. In New Jersey, only 13% of newlyweds were
that young. The same survey found that of people 31% of Americans married
in 2011 had a bachelor's degree or higher education. In New Jersey, this
figure was 42%.
Public Policy professor Andrew Cherlin from Johns Hopkins notes that the
divorce rates tend to be lower in the northeastern states because of this trend
to marry later and at a higher educational level.
Recessions tend to have a mixed effect on the rates of divorce. While job
loss, unemployment, bankruptcy, foreclosure and other economic instability are
bad stress for couples, it may be that some couples do not separate or
divorce because they cannot afford the additional expense of setting up and
maintaining two households, plus legal costs.
Other writers wonder if other factors make divorce in New Jersey less
likely. There are many foreign-born residents, which may reduce divorce
rates. Unemployment is not as high in New Jersey as some other states. Perhaps
the stress and impact of Hurricane Sandy will impact the next set of divorce
statistics. Some question whether married people in New Jersey have a lower
happiness set-point than those in other areas, or if they are settling.
At the very least, these national statistics about trends in marriage and
divorce give us an interesting dialogue about that factors that make splitting
up less likely. For my own daughters, and all the young people I work
with in counseling, I still hope you will take your time. Don't partner
too early. Finish your education and get financially stable on your own if
possible before taking on the huge commitments of marriage and family. Be sure
to get some pre-marital counseling so you know how you will deal with
decisions, religion, parenting, finances, family, and sex.
Your core self isn't truly developed until close to age 30, so if you marry
before then, it's anybody's guess if you will still be a fit with your partner
later on. Give yourself the best chance at marital happiness and success that
you can, because there are plenty of challenges you can't control in
life.
Thursday, November 8, 2012
Why do Marriages Last Better In New Jersey?
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